«There Has Been a Coup»
Auf der regelmäßig besten Seite der Süddeutschen Zeitung (Seite 2) findet sich heute die Übersetzung eines Interviews, das das iranische Magazin Rooz mit dem Regisseur Mohsen Makhmalbaf (sein Meisterwerk für meine Begriffe: Saalam Cinema, 1995) geführt hat. Makhmalbaf, der in der Wahlnacht mit dem Informationsdienst Mussawis in Kontakt stand, spricht offen von einem Staatsstreich. Seiner Darstellung nach, wurde Mussawi in der Wahlnacht zunächst von offizieller Seite mitgeteilt, dass er die Wahl gewonnen habe:
Rooz: You had announced good news quoting Mousavi’s election headquarter on American television. Then suddenly everything changed. What happened?
Mohsen Makhmalbaf: The attack on Mr. Mousavi’s election headquarters in Qeytarieh district of Tehran coincided with the Ministry of Interior’s notification to Mr. Mousavi that he had won the election while adding that Mr. Khamenei too had been informed of this news. According to Mr. officials of the headquarters, Mr. Khamenei had said that there was no problem. The only issue was how to manage announcing the news. As a result, members of Mousavi’s campaign headquarters were happy that Mousavi had won and so viewed the attack on their offices to be the revengeful personal act of the defeated right-wing, not a plan to start a coup d’état.
For about an hour or two, international connections of Mousavi’s campaign offices were cut which is why I was given the responsibility of communications so that I would announce to the world that according to the official announcement of the Ministry of Interior and election tallies, Mr. Mousavi had emerged as the winner and the elections had not even gone to the second round. This news was even communicated to other members of the arts and entertainment industry including Fatemeh Motamed-Aria who had heard the news directly from Mr. Mousavi who in turn called different individuals informing them that the greens had won. But while Mr. Mousavi was busy writing his victory speech, Passdaran Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) commanders showed up at the headquarters with a letter from Mr. Khamenei, the supreme leader of the Islamic Republic, which said that he would not let the green revolution to succeed. Ahmadinejad’s defeat is my defeat, the note said. The commanders then told Mr. Mousavi: “Don’t try to stir things up.” At this moment, Mr. Majid Majidi (a popular singer) who was involved in Mousavi’s communications and public relations activities told Kamboozia Partovi that he was disappointed and was going to leave the headquarters and go home. He also said that there would be a coup in Tehran the next day.
Das komplette Interview findet sich hier.
Sehr interessant übrigens auch die Blog-Einträge von http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/, der Website, die bereits die US-Wahl mit den subtilsten und kenntnisreichsten Interpretationen aus statistischer Perspektive begleitete. Nate Silver und Renard Sexton analysieren die offiziellen Zahlen: Sexton schreibt "Iran Does Have Some Fishy Numbers". Silver erklärt auch, warum ein Washington-Post-Artikel, der die Ergebnisse aufgrund einer unabhängigen Umfrage für plausibel hält, fragwürdig ist.